The COVID-19 pandemic presents unprecedented challenges for the health of Ohio’s people and economy. The Center for HOPES is proud to serve the state as part of a coalition whose aims are to monitor the effects of the pandemic on Ohio and identify data-driven strategies for response and recovery. Together with the Department of Health, Development Services Agency, Department of Medicaid, Office of Budget and Management, Department of Administrative Services, and Job and Family Services, the Center for HOPES is leveraging a wide range of data sources to provide real-time analysis of Ohio’s economy and households. This includes analyzing unemployment insurance claims, health insurance coverage, and consumer confidence about public health and financial security. The state’s executive leadership is drawing on these insights to inform its decisions about health, safety, and economic recovery.
Research Update: Center for HOPES researchers have authored a research memo describing the Ohio COVID Survey (OCS) and summarizing key findings within the context of the first six months of the COVID-19 pandemic. The OCS, unique in tracking Ohio household health and economic dynamics over time, has been an important source of information to Ohio’s state leadership.
COVID-19 Analytics & Targeted Surveillance (CATS)
The COVID-19 Analytics and Targeted Surveillance system (CATS) is a syndromic surveillance system that helps schools and public health authorities work together to make data-informed decisions about learning modality (virtual, in-person, or hybrid) to prevent and control the spread of the novel coronavirus. The College of Public Health is working with school districts and public health authorities to train this system to be able to automatically send an alert once certain thresholds for the indicators are reached. The Center for HOPES is providing project management and community engagement services on CATS, managing data use agreements, memoranda of understanding, trainings and presentations, and community team meetings.
By combining monitoring and epidemiological review of school nurse visits among students, absences among students due to illness, and absences among staff due to illness with county-level data for COVID-19 case rates, CATS allows for real-time analyses of factors that can predict localized outbreaks. The CATS team seeks to improve system sensitivity (i.e., minimize false negatives) and specificity (i.e., minimize false positives) over time as we get more data and track the number of new confirmed cases. Findings from this work can inform surveillance systems for other infectious agents, like influenza or norovirus, that are also disruptive to learning environments. Additionally, the system can be deployed statewide as a means of standardizing how different districts make decisions to ultimately lower the number of cases of COVID-19 disease.
Ohio Economic Roundtable
In the fall of 2020, Professor Eric Seiber, Director of the Center for HOPES, accepted Governor DeWine’s invitation to serve as a member of the Ohio Economic Roundtable. The aim of the Roundtable is to convene experts from a variety of economic disciplines and get their insights on how the pandemic is likely to affect Ohio’s economic outlook in the coming years. As part of the Roundtable, Dr. Seiber will offer feedback on the Ohio Office of Budget and Management’s revenue forecasting models for fiscal year 2022-2023, which are used in the state’s budget preparation and approval process. As a health economist, Dr. Seiber is uniquely qualified to provide insights about the implications of the pandemic and concurrent recession on Ohio’s economy, programs, and people.