Estimating corn yields

According to the latest Ohio Crop Weather Report 90% of the Ohio corn crop is in the dough stage, 3 percentage points ahead of the 5-year average.  40% of the crop is in the dent stage 10% below the 5 year average.

This time of year many of us begin to think about our potential corn yield.  The most popular yield estimator is the  THE YIELD COMPONENT METHOD.  This procedure was developed by the Agricultural Engineering Department at the University of Illinois.  The yield component method involves use of a numerical constant for kernel weight which is figured into an equation in order to calculate grain yield. This numerical constant is sometimes referred to as a “fudge‑factor” since it is based on a predetermined average kernel weight. Since weight per kernel will vary depending on hybrid and environment, the yield component method should be used only to estimate relative grain yields, i.e. “ballpark” grain yields. When below normal rainfall occurs during grain fill (resulting in low kernel weights), the yield component method will OVERESTIMATE yields. In a year with good grain fill conditions (resulting in high kernel weights) the method will underestimate grain yields.

In the past, the YIELD COMPONENT METHOD equation used a “fudge factor” of 90 (as the average value for kernel weight, expressed as 90,000 kernels per 56 lb bushel), but kernel size has increased as hybrids have improved over the years.  Assuming no stress during grain fill, a “fudge factor” of 80 to 85 (85,000 kernels per 56 lb bushel) is a more realistic value to use in the yield estimation equation today.

Step 1. Count the number of harvestable ears in a length of row equivalent to 1/1000th acre. For 30‑inch rows, this would be 17 ft. 5 in.

Step 2. On every fifth ear, count the number of kernel rows per ear and determine the average.

Step 3. On each of these ears count the number of kernels per row and determine the average. (Do not count kernels on either the butt or tip of the ear that are less than half the size of normal size kernels.)

Step 4. Yield (bushels per acre) equals (ear #) x (avg. row #) x (avg. kernel #) divided by 85.

Step 5. Repeat the procedure for at least four additional sites across the field. Keep in mind that uniformity of plant development affects the accuracy of  the estimation technique.

The more variable crop development is across a field, the greater the number of samples that should be taken to estimate yield for the field.

Example: You are evaluating a field with 30‑inch rows. You counted 32 ears (per 17′ 5″ = row section). Sampling every fifth ear resulted in an average row number of 16 and an average number of kernels per row of 33. The estimated yield for that site in the field would be (32 x 16 x 33) divided by 85, which equals 199 bu/acre.

Field Observations Thru September 1

They are here!  Palmer Amaranth and Waterhemp are prevalent in MANY Knox County fields.  One female plant can produce 1,000,000 seeds.  If you find Palmer Amaranth or Waterhemp you should do whatever you can to prevent these devastating weeds from going to seed, including removing the entire plant from the field.

Continue to remain vigilant!  

Click here for tips on identifying pigweed, palmer and waterhemp.

Corn

Growth & Development

Most of the corn that I have seen this week is in either the R3 (Milk) or the R4 (Dough) growth stage.  Some of our early maturing hybrids have reached the R5 dent stage.

Scouting

Disease pressure throughout the county continues to be very low. Continue to scout for:

  • Foliar diseases – Gray Leafspot, Tar Spot, Northern Corn Leaf Blight.
  • Weed escapes (especially Palmer and Waterhemp).

Soybeans

Growth & Development

Most of the corn that I have seen this week is in the R6 (Full Seed) growth stage.  Some of the early maturity beans are entering the R7 (Beginning Maturity) stage soon.

Scouting

Disease pressure throughout the county continues to be very low.  As you continue to scout your bean fields, look for:

  • Foliar diseases – Sudden Death Syndrome, White Mold, and Frogeye Leaf Spot.
  • Insect feeding – Grasshoppers.
  • Weed escapes (especially Palmer and Waterhemp).

County Rainfall Update

Ohio Crop Progress

 

Seventy-nine percent of corn was in or past dough, and 30 percent of Ohio corn was in or past dent. Ninety percent of soybeans were setting pods. Corn and soybean condition were 79 and 76 percent good to excellent, respectively. Second cuttings of other hay were 88 percent complete. Third cuttings of alfalfa hay and other dry hay were 69 and 44 percent complete, respectively. Pasture and range condition was rated 66 percent good to excellent, up from the previous week.

Field Observations Thru August 25

Corn

Growth & Development

Last week I highlighted the R3 (milk) growth stage.  R4 is the next stage, occurring approximately 26 days after silking.

R4 – Dough

  • This stage is about 26 days after silking.

 

  • The kernel has thickened to a pasty (doughy) consistency from the earlier milky state (starch has continued to accumulate and kernel moisture content has decreased).
  • The embryo of the seed is growing while the kernels are just beginning to dry at the top (dent).
  • Kernels have accumulated 50 percent of their dry weight and have about 70 percent moisture.
  • Unfavorable environmental conditions or nutrient deficiencies still can result in unfilled kernels and “chaffy” ears.

Scouting

Disease pressure throughout the county continues to be very low. Continue to scout for:

Chaffy Ears

  • Foliar diseases
  • Weed escapes (especially Palmer and Waterhemp)
  • Head smut
  • European corn borer
  • Barren stalks, poor pollination
  • Nutrient deficiencies

 

Soybeans

Growth & Development

Soybeans are continuing to mature.  Recent rains will help with seed fill.  Last week I highlighted the R5 (Beginning Seed) growth stage.  R6 is the next stage, occurring approximately 10 days after R4.

R6 – Full Seed

R6 Full seed

Pod containing a green seed that fills the pod cavity at one of the four uppermost nodes on the main stem with a fully developed leaf

 

  • Beans of many sizes can be found on the plant
  • Total plant pod weight is maximized
  • Large amounts of nitrogen are still being accumulated from the soil and remobilized to the seed
  • Root growth is complete between R6 and R7.

Scouting

As you continue to scout your bean fields, look for

  • Foliar diseases – Sudden Death Syndrome, White Mold, and Frogeye Leaf Spot.
  • Insect feeding – Grasshoppers.
  • Weed escapes (especially Palmer and Waterhemp).

Click here for tips on identifying pigweed, palmer and waterhemp.

County Rainfall Update

Field Observations Thru August 18

Corn

Growth & Development

Corn development continues to vary throughout the county.  Last week I highlighted the R2 (Blister) growth stage.  R3 is the next stage, occurring approximately 20 days after silking.

R3 – Milk Stage

  • Occurs approximately 18‐20 days after silking.

  • The  kernel is colored yellow with the inside containing ‘milky’ white fluid.
  • Kernel moisture  content is approximately 80%
  • Starch is beginning to accumulate in the kernel.
  • Stress is not as severe at R3 as at R1; however, yield reduction can occur due to a reduction in the number of kernels that ultimately develop and to the final size and weight of the kernels.
  • Very little root growth occurs after R3.

Scouting

Disease pressure throughout the county continues to be very low.  At this stage of growth, with little to no disease pressure, and new crop corn under $5 can we justify at least $25 per acre for a fungicide application?

Read more on disease scouting here.

Soybeans

Growth & Development

Like corn, soybean development continues to vary throughout the county.  Beans are looking much better than they were a few weeks ago. Last week I highlighted the R4 (Full Pod) growth stage.  R5 (Beginning Seed) is the next stage, occurring approximately 10 days after R4.

  • Seed is 1/8 inches long in the pod at one of the four uppermost nodes on the main stem with a fully developed leaf .

  • Rapid seed filling begins, while root growth slows.
  • Dry weight and nutrients begin redistributing through the plant to the developing seed.
  • 50% defoliation can decrease yield by 15-17%.
  • Symptoms of many diseases, including white mold and SDS begin to show up at this growth stage.
  • This is a good growth stage to determine the severity of disease.
  • Treating most diseases with fungicides is not recommended at this time.

Scouting

All of the bean fields that I have seen this week look very similar to this one.  I am seeing very little (if any) disease pressure.  Current and projected weather conditions may change  this.  As you continue to scout your bean fields, look for Sudden Death Syndrome, White Mold, and Frogeye Leaf Spot.

Weeds

It’s that time of year when weeds are beginning to show their ugly heads above the soybean canopy in many fields.  During your scouting, if you find Palmer Amaranth or Waterhemp you should do whatever you can to prevent these devastating weeds from going to seed, including removing the entire plant from the field.

Click here for tips on identifying pigweed, palmer and waterhemp.

County Rainfall Update

Field Observations Thru August 11

Corn

Growth & Development

Corn development continues to vary throughout the county.  Last week I highlighted the R1 (Silking) growth stage.  R2 is the next stage, occurring approximately 10 days after silking.

R2 – Blister

  • Occurs about 10‐12 days after silking.
  • The kernel is visible  and resembles a blister

  • Clear fluid fills the kernel
  • The embryo is barely visible
  • Approximately 85% moisture content.
  • If severe stress occurs now or during R3, kernels can be aborted from the tip downward.
  • Kernel abortion will occur until the plant has a sufficient supply of carbohydrates for the  remaining kernels.

Scouting

Disease pressure throughout the county is very low.  SO … Do I spray or not?  This is literally the same decision that we had to make with our wheat crop this year.  Read more on disease scouting here.

Soybeans

Growth & Development

Like corn, soybean development continues to vary throughout the county.  Beans are looking much better than they were a few weeks ago. Last week I highlighted the R3 (Beginning Pod) growth stage.  R4 (Full Pod) is the next stage, occurring approximately 10 days after R3.

R4 – Full Pod

  • A 3/4 inch pod at one of the four uppermost nodes on the main stem
  • Rapid pod growth & beginning seed development
  • From R4 to middle R5 critical period for soybean yield potential
  • Flowering is complete
  • Pod abortion occurs naturally and allows the soybean plant to adapt to current environmental conditions.
  • Pod number and seed size affect yield more than seeds per pod.

Scouting

All of the bean fields that I have seen this week look very similar to this one.  I am seeing very little (if any) disease pressure.  Current and projected weather conditions may change  this.  As you continue to scout your bean fields, look for Sudden Death Syndrome, White Mold, and Frogeye Leaf Spot.  More information on scouting for these problems next week.

County Rainfall Update

Corn Water Requirements

Soybean Water Requirements

Ohio Crop Progress

Last week, warm and dry conditions dominated across the State, according to Ben Torrance, State Statistician, USDA NASS, Ohio Field Office. The most recent U.S. Drought Monitor report showed 18.5 percent of the State as abnormally dry or worse, a decrease from the previous week. Conditions matching the moderate drought rating were observed in 1.7 percent of the State. Topsoil moisture conditions were rated 2 percent very short, 23 short, 71 percent adequate, and 4 percent surplus. Statewide, the average temperature for the week ending on August 6 was 71.3 degrees, 0.7 degrees below normal. Weather stations recorded an average of 0.17 inches of precipitation, 0.65 inches below average. There were 6.1 days suitable for fieldwork during the week ending August 6.

While crop condition ratings improved, crop progress for corn and soybeans remained near or behind the five-year average for the majority of the State. Southwestern counties experienced below-average moisture levels, leading some farmers to report crop stress. Corn silking progress reached 87 percent and corn dough progress was 20 percent complete. Soybeans blooming was 82 percent complete and pod setting progress reached 48 percent. Corn and soybean condition were 73 and 67 percent good to excellent, respectively. Oats were 95 percent harvested. Second cuttings of alfalfa were 93 percent complete, and second cuttings of other hay were 67 percent complete. Third cuttings of alfalfa hay and other dry hay were 32 and 22 percent complete, respectively. Pasture and range condition was rated 67 percent good to excellent, up from the previous week. Livestock were reported to be in good condition, benefitted by seasonally moderate temperatures and improved pasture.

Field Observations Thru August 4

Corn

Corn development continues to vary throughout the county.  After tasseling the next growth stage is R1 – Silking.

R1 – Silking.

  • At least 50% of plants in the field will have 1 or more silks emerged. Look at  only the uppermost ear on the corn plant.
  • Pollen grains will land on silks and if receptive,  fertilization will occur.
  • Silks are viable and receptive to pollen for at least 5 days.
  • The plant  uses the most water per day (0.35 inches) during R1, making it very sensitive to stresses.
    • The largest yield reduction occurs with stress at silking
  • Silks have highest water content among all parts of the corn plant.
  • Drought causes silk  elongation to slow down and pollen shed to speed up.
  • Potential kernel number is determined.
  • Maximum plant height is achieved.
  • Potassium uptake is essentially complete and nitrogen and phosphorus uptake is rapid in the plant.
  • Nutrient content by leaf analysis is highly related to the final grain yield at this time.

See all information on all corn reproductive growth stages here.

Soybeans

R3 Beginning Pod

      • A plant can have all of the following:

developing pods,    withering flowers, new open flowers and flower buds

  • Potassium uptake rates peak shortly
    after R2, ranging between 3.5-5.2 lb K2O /acre/day
  • Last growth stage to treat for white mold
  • Scout for insects and diseases.  Spray foliar insecticide or fungicide, if needed.
  • Identify water stress,
    which affects pod formation.

County Rainfall Update

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Corn Water Requirements

Soybean Water Requirements

 

Corn Growth and Development – Reproductive Stages

After VT, staging is no longer based on the vegetative appearance of the plant and instead  focuses only on the ear to stage the plant and field.

Look at kernels in the middle of the ear  when determining reproductive developmental stages.

The corn plant will go through six reproductive stages (R1 – R6) compared to eight stages in soybean plant.

These are the six reproductive (R) stages of corn:

  • R1 (silk): Any silk becomes visible outside the husk leaves
  • R2 (blister): Small, white kernels, and kernel fluid is clear
  • R3 (milk): Yellow kernels, milky white fluid in kernel
  • R4 (dough): Paste‐like, or dough, kernel contents
  • R5 (dent): Kernels dent on the top due to starch accumulation
  • R6 (physiological maturity): Physiological maturity with maximum dry matter accumulation. Black layer occurs after physiological maturity.

Field Observations Thru July 21

Corn

Corn growth varies greatly throughout the county, but, more fields are beginning to tassel.  As corn begins to tassel, nutrient (K > N > P) and water (0.30 inch per day) demands for the crop are close to maximum. Heat and drought will affect potential number of kernels.  Scout for insects (e.g., corn leaf aphid, western bean cutworm, corn earworm, fall armyworm) and diseases (e.g., gray leaf spot, southern rust, northern leaf
blight). Total leaf defoliation severely affects final yields.

VT (Tasseling) – Stage VT occurs two to three days before silking, when the last branch of the tassel is completely visible but silks have not emerged yet from the ear shoot. The plant has reached full height and the pollen shed begins. The time between VT and R1 can vary with different hybrids and due to environmental conditions.
Pollen shed (pollen drop) normally occurs during the late morning or early evening. Hail damage is more serious at this time than for any other growth period. All leaves have emerged and the complete loss of a pollen source would result in no grain formation.

We are nearing a point in the growing season where it is time to scout your corn fields and make a decision regarding fungicide applications. Click here to view the 2023 corn fungicide ratings.

Soybeans

Postemergence herbicide applications – Don’t forget the preharvest intervals (PHI) for grazing or harvest. Read more here.

 

Soybean Postemergence Weed Control – Grasses

Soybean Postemergence Weed Control – Broadleaves

Soybean Growth & Development – R2: Full Bloom

  • Open flower at one of two uppermost main-stem nodes
  • About 50% of the total mature node number has been established.
  • Very rapid nitrogen (N), phosphorus (P), potassium (K) and dry-matter accumulation is occurring and will continue through R6.
  • Defoliation of the plant of 50% at this stage will reduce yield by 6%.
  • Approximately 60 days away from beginning of physiological maturity (R7).

County Rainfall Update

Mount Vernon, OH

Corn Water Requirements

Soybean Water Requirements