More Voting by Mail? First, Consider the Hidden Costs

By Charles Stewart III

Kenan Sahin Distinguished Professor of Political Science
The Massachusetts Institute of Technology

Montana’s Secretary of State Linda McCulloch recently announced she would file a bill with her state legislature to move Montana to all-mail elections. In so doing, she cited the growing number of Montanans who already vote by mail, through the absentee ballot process, and the rising per-voter costs of staffing traditional in-person precincts that fewer voters are using.

The reliance on vote-by-mail has certainly grown. Oregon and Washington now vote entirely by mail; among the remaining states, the percentage of ballots cast absentee (which is almost all done by mail) has grown from 4% in 1992 to 14% in 2008. (About one-quarter of Montanans voted absentee in 2008.)

Election administrators have good reasons to want to move more balloting to the postal service. Vote-by-mail is cheaper. It also removes a major barrier to the consistent application of election laws, by eliminating the need to hire and train precinct poll workers. In these difficult economic times, isn’t a cheaper, administratively simpler method of voting a no-brainer?

Not if the policy costs outweigh the savings. Unfortunately, the policy costs — which come in the form of lost votes, decreased legitimacy, and a further skewing of the composition of the electorate — are real. Also unfortunate is the fact that policy analysts and election geeks (me included) have largely ignored these costs as they have analyzed the growth of voting by mail. One defense against not studying the policy costs of voting by mail is that the data just haven’t been available. However, data that bear on the policy costs of voting by mail have begun trickling in, and the initial look is sobering.

The first cost is lost votes. The problem of lost votes was highlighted in the Florida 2000 recount in Palm Beach County with the appearance of the veritable bestiary of chad — hanging, pregnant, swinging, and the like. Something like pregnant chad is a great example of votes being lost through no fault of the voter, because virtually the only way pregnant chad could be produced was if the holding device had not been properly cleaned. Research over the past decade has established solid evidence that most of what used to show up as “blank,” “over-voted,” and “under-voted” ballots in presidential elections — what is now lumped together under the rubric of “residual votes” — was due to some artifact of the machine the voter was using. A goal of the Help America Vote Act (HAVA) was to retire systems that were prone to inducing residual votes, like Votomatic punch cards, in favor of devices that helped save voters from common errors, such as precinct-count optical scanners or direct-recording electronic devices.

Less obvious, but just as important, HAVA provided incentives and mandates that were aimed at reducing even more important causes of lost votes, by improving voter registration systems and encouraging the improvement of election administration practices.

HAVA was mostly oriented toward making sure that if a voter woke up on Election Day intending to vote for president, the vote would be counted at the end of the day. The Act had a very traditional focus on in-precinct voting. HAVA had virtually nothing to say about the lost votes problem from the mail-in ballot end of the process — probably because the problem was invisible in Florida, as it is nationwide. Very little attention has been paid to this problem in any systematic way. We had no idea how big this problem might be.

Until now.

Buried deep within the Election Assistance Commission’s (EAC) 2008 Election Administration and Voting Survey (EAVS) is a series of questions that ask local jurisdictions about the workflow associated with absentee voting by mail in 2008. In addition, the 2008 Survey on the Performance of American Elections (SPAE), conducted by my colleagues at the Caltech/MIT Voting Technology Project (VTP), helps provide evidence about voters who asked for absentee ballots, only never to receive them. Putting these studies together, we have the best evidence about how many people requested absentee ballots in 2008 and, in the end, how many were counted.

The top- and bottom-lines are these: it looks like 36 million people requested mail ballots in 2008, whereas only 28 million absentee ballots were counted, leading to a “leakage” in the absentee ballot pipeline of 8 million ballots, or roughly 20% of requests.

Where did the leaks occur? The data from these studies suggest that 4 million ballots were requested but not received, 3 million were transmitted but not returned for counting, and 800,000 ballots were returned for counting, but rejected.

Are these lost votes, in the same sense of pregnant chad? No. Are they the same as lost votes due to registration mix-ups or poor polling place places? Perhaps.

The leaky pipeline statistics quoted above need to be treated as the preliminary estimates they are. Here are some things to consider when assessing these estimates of lost votes via the mails in 2008: (1) the data sources are new and incomplete, (2) respondents to the SPAE may have rationalized why they didn’t vote, (3) some people who requested absentee ballots may have eventually gone in to vote at a precinct, and (4) local officials may have rejected many absentee ballots out of an abundance of caution over concerns about fraud.

These estimates are a beginning, not the end, of a discussion about how many voters who rely on the mails to cast a ballot actually have their vote counted on Election Day.

Still, what if the “real” lost vote rate for absentee ballots wasn’t 20%, but just 2%? It would still be greater than the in-precinct lost vote rate.

These figures only try to estimate votes that are lost through the supply pipeline of mail-in balloting. What about the ballots that are returned and accepted for counting?

Here is where we encounter the promise of HAVA in polling-place voting falling short in the case of mail-in balloting. HAVA required that ballots voted in a precinct have some safeguard against over-voting; no such safeguards exist for voting by mail. Not surprisingly, the residual vote rate for absentee balloting is greater than for in-precinct voting. For instance, in Florida in 2008, the residual vote rate for Election Day voting in Florida was 0.54%, compared to 0.78% for absentee voting. While not huge, this difference does represent a total of almost 4,600 ballots, a number that well exceeds the vote margin of some recent close elections in that state.

The second cost is the legitimacy of election outcomes. This is where one claim of Secretary McCullough needs to be examined, which is that after visiting groups involved in voting in Oregon, they “loved voting by mail.”

Well, yes and no.

In the Survey of the Performance of America Elections (SPAE), which I mentioned above, we asked voters nationwide whether they favored a series of voting reforms, including whether elections should all be run by mail. Nationwide, the proposal was a dud, garnering support from only 15% of all respondents. A majority of voters in only two states favored vote-by-mail — not surprisingly, in Oregon (64%) and Washington (51%). The next-closest state was Arizona, at 27% support. (Montana was number six, at 22% support.)

While Secretary McCullough was referring to groups in Oregon who administer elections as “loving” vote-by-mail, not the citizens at large, it is hard to characterize all of Oregon, and certainly Washington, as embracing it. Most support it, but even in Oregon — a state that adopted vote-by-mail by referendum — it seems that a solid minority wish the Beaver State continued to use traditional polling places.

This division over whether voting by mail is a good idea in Oregon and Washington has consequences for how voters judge the election outcomes. The SPAE asked respondents if they were confident their vote was counted as cast. Nationwide, the percentage answering “very confident” was 64%. In Washington, the percentage was 48%; in Oregon, it was 59%. What is interesting is that in these two states confidence in the vote count was related to whether one favored voting by mail, which is not true of voters nationwide. Among the residents of Oregon and Washington, supporters of voting by mail were close to the national average in trusting the quality of the vote count. Among the opponents, less than half were confident their vote was counted as cast.

This suggests that one effect of sanctioning universal voting by mail in Oregon and Washington, has been the creation of a solid minority of voters who doubt the wisdom of the move. Many of them are convinced that the vote count is flawed. As a result, Oregon and Washington voters express among the least confidence that their vote was counted as cast among voters nationwide, as least as measured in this survey.

The third cost is in the composition of the electorate. The best research into the effects of vote-by-mail suggests three things. First, the only elections in which turnout is clearly higher is in local elections, where turnout is already homeopathic. Second, in the biennial general elections, turnout generally does not go up; people who used to drop out of the electorate are more likely to be retained, but new people are not systematically added to the electorate. This leads us to the third point: over time, the net effect of voting by mail is to shift the composition of the electorate toward people who are wealthy and well educated. Voting by mail doesn’t expand the electorate overall, while making it less representative.

What should Montana, or any state considering going over entirely to vote by mail, do? Should they abandon the thought? Not necessarily. The purpose of pointing out the (until now) hidden potential policy costs of universal vote-by-mail elections is to make citizens and policymakers more aware of the potential costs, in terms of democratic values, that this form of voting imposes. Perhaps the trade-offs are worth it. Perhaps the perils could be minimized with some creative thinking.

There is also a middle alternative, between continuing to support the dual system of highly decentralized precincts plus mail-in absentees, on the one hand, and complete vote-by-mail, on the other. That is to allow absentee balloting to continue as-is, while moving to a small number of vote centers, dispersed around a county, that are opened for early voting a couple of weeks ahead of the traditional Election Day. (Some states already have these, but often call them “satellite absentee ballot centers.”) On Election Day, use only the vote centers.

A vote center is an office that is set up to allow a voter who lives anywhere in a county to receive the appropriate ballot and cast it on the spot. Implementing vote centers requires an investment of money, intensive communication with voters, and the deployment of new technologies, such as electronic poll books and ballot-on-demand systems. Even with these investments, local governments could still reap most of the savings and administrative improvements envisioned by vote-by-mail if they just closed hundreds of small precincts and opened a few vote centers. That way, voters who wished to avail themselves of the communal aspects of voting, or avail themselves of the safeguards against over-voting, could do that. And, there is even evidence that Election Day voting centers increase voter turnout.

State and local election officials are coping with budgetary shortfalls, just like the rest of state and local governments, and this work is rarely given adequate funding, even in the best of times. Proposals to save money through precinct consolidations and more voting by mail will only increase in number. As this happens, it will be important for everyone who cares about economy in government and the quality of elections to take a serious look at the hidden costs of these changes. Otherwise, we risk a new lost-votes epidemic of our own making.

Reinforcing Voting as a Communal Act

By Terri L. Enns

Voting, while certainly an individual act, is also a communal one that includes the intention to impact the larger community. Historically, that communal reality was reinforced in the voter’s mind on Election Day, the single day on which people voted, whether the election be a primary, special, or general election. With voting already underway in 39 states, it is worth considering whether there are institutional and structural ways to keep alive that sense of ”the important communal civic event of a single election day.”[i]

In the past, on Election Day voters would join their friends and neighbors at their polling places, which were for the most part located in civically-oriented buildings, either schools or churches. Campaigns focused their energies on a single day, and organized volunteers to get people to the polls on that day. All activity was geared toward the day of decision-making when voters would cast their votes. These features combined to remind voters that they were casting votes that would choose representatives and policies not only for themselves, but for the entire community.

Over the past twenty-five years, various innovations in the voting process have changed that pattern so that by 2004, nearly one in four votes took place on a day other than Election Day.[ii] Absentee balloting, formerly reserved for those people with a clear reason–usually absence from home or some other inability to come to the polling place–is now available in many states for anyone who requests an absentee ballot. In-person early voting is also increasingly available. Oregon and Washington mandates vote-by-mail, and other states are currently experimenting with vote-by-mail for some types of elections.

The main reason for the changes from single day, single location elections is the convenience of the voter. The ubiquity of cell phones should be enough proof that as a society we do not like to be tied to a single location. Work schedules, family arrangements, and personal preferences all provide fodder for arguing against a single day for voting. For many, underlying the convenience rationale is the assumption that a more convenient system will increase voter participation. However, as logical as that rationale seems, the data appear to show that participation does not increase; rather, the people who would have voted anyhow are just voting at different times and places.[iii]

Despite the lack of evidence of increased participation, these more convenient forms of voting are no doubt here to stay. Sufficient numbers of nonvoters cite convenience-related reasons for their failure to vote[iv] to quiet any move to return to the systems in place twenty years ago. Instead, what follows are some suggestions about institutional means to strengthen the sense of shared civic responsibility while retaining the increased convenience that we’ve come to assume:

Reduce the number of days for early voting: While a single day for voting is inadequate to accommodate contemporary work schedules and lifestyles, it seems overly-generous for people to have the option to begin voting six to eight weeks before an election. What is the added value of voting more than a week prior to the traditional Election Day? In addition to adding costs and allowing people to vote without the benefits of information coming at the end of full campaigns, these long voting periods can dilute focus on the election.

Establish a Voting Holiday: As with Independence Day and Veterans’ Day, turning voting day (at least for general elections) into a holiday would provide a more intense focus on the civic nature of voting. Many work conflicts would be eliminated, and adding a couple of voting days before the holiday itself would be sufficient to do away with most scheduling conflicts. As a nation, we are used to using holidays to signify important cultural events, and voting combines many of the values celebrated by other holidays.

Locate all polling places in civic buildings: While I have not noticed any trends toward voting in private establishments, it is worth a reminder that the location of voting impacts the ways in which people vote. Some research indicates that “environmental cues” may influence the way that voters behave. The study looked at the impact of voting in a school or voting in a church, and found that polling locations have a small but measurable influence on votes. If that is true, then paying close attention to the types of buildings used as polling places is an important way to reinforce the idea that voting is a communal act.

We should be deliberate about retaining the structural reminders of the communal nature of voting, even while embracing convenience. There is some irony in the fact that voting used to take place on a single day, and then the populous was willing to wait for weeks and months for the official results of that single day of voting. Now, we spend weeks voting, but then expect the results of all that voting to be available before we go to sleep on what is now the the last day of a voting season. Part of the reason we are eager to learn the outcome is that we know that all members of society will be impacted by the results of elections. Our structures need to remind us of that fact while we are in the act of deliberating about our choices and casting our votes, not only as we await the tally of everyone else’s votes.



[i] John C. Fortier, Absentee and Early Voting: Trends, Promises, and Perils. The AEI Press, Washington, D.C., 2006, p. 5.

[ii] Id., p. 19.

[iii] Id., p. 42,45.

[iv] Id., p. 47.

The Rise of 501(c)(4)s in campaign activity: Are they as clever as they think?

By Donald B. Tobin

According to some, 501(c)(4)s are the perfect advocacy organization for independent third parties seeking to influence elections; they can take unlimited donations and do not have to disclose the names of donors. If (c)(4)s can operate this way, they become a perfect mechanism for corporate influence in campaigns and also fundamentally destroy the few checks that are left on the corruptive influence of large contributions in political campaigns.

Even before Citizen’s United we saw a significant increase in the use of 501(c)(4) tax-exempt “Social Welfare Organizations” as vehicles for advocacy in election campaigns. In a recent article in The New York Times, Michael Luo and Stephanie Strom examine the use of 501(c)(4) organizations in political advocacy. They note the attractiveness of these organizations for large contributors because in most cases these organizations do not have to disclose donations to the organizations. According to proponents of the use of (c)(4)s, they are the perfect advocacy organization for independent third parties seeking to influence elections; they can take unlimited donations and do not have to disclose the names of donors. If proponents are correct that (c)(4)s can operate this way, (c)(4)s become a perfect mechanism for corporate influence in campaigns and also fundamentally destroy the few checks that are left on the corruptive influence of large contributions in political campaigns.

What is important to distinguish, however, is whether the proponents are in fact correct. In most cases, the (c)(4)s formed to engage in independent advocacy are not complying with the law. As Luo and Strom explain in their article, enforcement in this area is difficult, and the IRS is both underfunded and unequipped to handle large-scale regulation in this area. The question, however, is not whether (c)(4)s can get away with this behavior in the short run, but whether their interpretations are in fact correct and whether their actions are legal. If their actions are illegal, then there are actions that can be taken to rein in large-scale abuse.

Prior to highlighting methods of reining in the abuse of (c)(4)s, it is important to understand the requirements for different tax-exempt organizations. In general, organizations seek some type of organizational structure with which to conduct their activities. Since Citizens United, organizations can engage in campaign activities through a for-profit corporation. There are also tax-exempt organizations that can be used to engage in political discourse. Section 501(c)(3) organizations are what we think of as typical non-profit organizations. These are religious institutions, charities, educational institutions, etc. Contributions to these organizations are deductible and income related to the organization’s exempt purpose is not taxed. These organizations, however, may not intervene in an election campaign for or against a candidate for public office. Some (c)(3) organizations push the envelope, but for the most part, these organizations stay out of large scale campaign advocacy. (For more on the use of (c)(3)s in political campaigns see Campaigning by Churches and Charities).

Section 501(c)(4) organizations are “social welfare organizations” and donations to these organizations are not tax deductible (and are likely subject to gift tax), but income generated by the organization related to its exempt-purpose is not taxed. Social welfare organizations must be organized primarily (although the statute says exclusively) for a social welfare purpose and political campaign advocacy is not a social welfare purpose. The regulations governing (c)(4) organizations provide that an organization qualifies as a (c)(4) if “it is primarily engaged in promoting in some way the common good and general welfare of the people of the community.” The regulations further provide that “the promotion of social welfare does not include direct or indirect participation or intervention in political campaigns on behalf of or in opposition to any candidate for public office.” See Treas. Reg. 1.501(c)(4)-1(a)(2)(i) and (ii). Intervention in a political campaign has been defined broadly by the IRS, and it is the IRS’s definition, not the FEC’s definition that applies in this instance.

Finally, section 527 of the Code was created for political organizations. Section 527 organizations are organizations whose primary purpose is to influence the “selection, nomination, election, or appointment of any individual to any federal, state or local public office.” Section 527 organizations are not subject to tax on its exempt function income, contributions to 527 organizations are not deductible, but contributions to 527s are not subject to gift tax. Section 527 organizations, however, are subject to a disclosure regime that requires disclosure of contributions and expenditures. If organizations do not disclose, they are subject to tax on non-disclosed contributions and expenditures.

So in short, 501(c)(4) organizations are supposed to be primarily engaged in social welfare, are not subject to tax on income, and may engage in a limited amount of intervention in a political campaign. Section 527 organizations are designed for political advocacy. Contributions to the organizations are not income, but the organizations are required to disclose contributions and expenditures or face additional tax.

Current advocates of using (c)(4)s as campaign advocacy vehicles are distorting the law and often are mischaracterizing their activities. If they are truly lobbying to promote their social welfare purpose, then they are properly (c)(4) organizations. But if they are engaged in intervention in a political campaign, and they are trying to cloak their activities as lobbying, they are violating both the spirit and the substance of the statute. Under campaign finance jurisprudence, they may be able to use such trickery, but it is usually not accepted in tax jurisprudence.

The distinction is important here. It is not by mistake that (c)(4)s do not have to disclose while 527 political organizations do. Social welfare organizations were not designed to be vehicles for promoting candidates; they were designed to promote social welfare. The promotion of social welfare may include lobbying on issues related to the organization’s social purpose. There is an argument that these types of activities do not pose the same concerns with regard to the corruptive influence of money in political campaigns that is present when organizations intervene in political campaigns. A statutory scheme that requires disclosure for campaign intervention but not for lobbying and the promotion of social welfare therefore makes sense. If organizations are able to mask campaign intervention as lobbying, then the check on corruption present in the current statutory scheme will be subverted.

The question really is what type of enforcement mechanism exists to constrain entities that are improperly characterizing themselves as (c)(4)s. It is one thing to say that these entities can get away with organizing as a (c)(4) and another thing to say that it is legal. The fact that enforcement is lacking does not make the action legal.

Why does it matter? If it is illegal but the illegality is unenforced, won’t the action continue? The answer is maybe, but at some point, there are consequences to people who subvert the law and are too clever. So here are some proscriptive solutions for limiting the abuse of (c)(4)s.

First, the IRS could take stronger action against such organizations. In many cases, these organizations are violating the law. If procedural mechanisms are not in place to properly regulate these organizations (like the fact that they do not necessarily file tax forms when they are created so the IRS may not know who they are), the IRS has the power to change those regulations.

Second, the IRS can reclassify these organizations as 527 organizations and assess tax based on the organizations’ failure to disclose contributions and expenditures. An organization is not a 501(c)(4) organization simply because it says so. Section 527 specifically defines organizations that are 527 organizations. There is no opt-out provision. So even if an organization says it is a 501(c)(4) organization, it may actually be a 527 organization and thus subject to disclosure requirements of a 527 organization.

Third, when disclosure provisions were enacted as part of section 527 it was a compromise between no disclosure and an earlier bill that would have required disclosure of 501(c)(4) and 527 organizations. If 501(c)(4)s continue to be used to subvert the disclosure provisions in section 527, Congress could create disclosure provisions in (c)(4) for those organizations who rely on “lobbying” as their primary social welfare purpose. (As an aside, § 501(c)(4) could be amended as part of budget reconciliation and therefore could be modified with only 51 votes, thus potentially avoiding concerns that modifications could be easily filibustered).

Fourth, The New York Times article states that one of the problems is that these organizations may disappear as soon as the election is over. In this instance, lawyers who are setting up these organizations have an ethical responsibility under our Professional Responsibility rules not to assist others in engaging in illegal activities. If these are campaign advocacy organizations masquerading as social welfare organizations, lawyers cannot participate in setting up or advising these organizations. Lawyers are prohibited from assisting a client in engaging in an illegal activity. Lawyers cannot assist in such an activity even if there is lax enforcement, and the lawyer believes the client can get away with it. It is this type of attitude that brought us Worldcom, Enron, and some of the downfall in the financial industry. Lawyers are not allowed to counsel people to cheat on their taxes even though there is little chance they will get caught, and they are not allowed to counsel people to create (c)(4) organizations when they are not (c)(4) organizations. Moreover, the Treasury has implemented specific ethical rules under Circular 230, which governs practice before the IRS. Those rules are often stricter than state bar rules and the rules under circular 230 would likely apply in this instance.

Fifth, the IRS could start assessing gift tax on donations to (c)(4) organizations. While there is a statutory exemption from the gift tax for contributions to (c)(3) and 527 organizations, there is no such exemption for (c)(4)s. If large donors were subject to gift tax on their contributions, (c)(4)s would be a lot less attractive as a campaign vehicle.

So are proponents of 501(c)(4)s as smart as they think? Probably, if smarts are measured by what they can get away with in the short run. But if their point is that they have found a legal way to engage in secret campaign advocacy, they are wrong, on both moral and legal grounds. The question is not whether the IRS, Congress, or local bars have the power to limit this abuse, they certainly do. The question is whether we are going to be serious about disclosure in a post-Citizens United campaign finance system. If (c)(4)s can be used as independent campaign advocacy organizations with no disclosure requirements, then there will be no check on the corruptive influence of large campaign contribution and our democracy will surely suffer.

The Persistence of Partisan Election Administration

By Daniel P. Tokaji

It has been almost ten years since the disputed election that gave rise to Bush v. Gore, the Help America Vote Act of 2002 (HAVA), and a number of related election reforms in the states.  Notwithstanding these significant changes, a fundamental problem at the heart of the 2000 election debacle has yet to be solved.  Ten years ago, many observers suspected bias on the part of election officials responsible for the recount, including Florida Secretary of State Katherine Harris.  In over 30 states, the chief election official – usually the secretary of state – is still elected as the candidate of one of the major parties.  This creates an inherent conflict of interest between election officials’ duty to discharge their duties to all citizens and their own personal and political interests.

It has been almost ten years since the disputed election that gave rise to Bush v. Gore, the Help America Vote Act of 2002 (HAVA), and a number of related election reforms in the states. In some respects, this has been a time of great progress. We have eliminated punch card voting machines and moved to statewide registration lists. We offer provisional ballots to voters who registered but don’t find their names on the list when they show up to vote. And the process has been made more convenient, with over 30% of Americans voting before election day through absentee and in-person early voting in 2008.

Notwithstanding these significant changes, a fundamental problem at the heart of the 2000 election debacle has yet to be solved. Ten years ago, many observers suspected bias on the part of election officials responsible for the recount, including Florida Secretary of State Katherine Harris as well as local election officials. Similar concerns surrounded the 2004 presidential election, particularly actions taken by Ohio’s Secretary of State Ken Blackwell – most infamously, the requirement that registration applications be on 80-pound paper weight. More recently, Republicans have raised concerns of partisan bias on the part of Democratic election officials, including Minnesota’s Secretary of State in the contested U.S. Senate election in 2008.

Whether or not these officials have acted based on partisan bias is impossible to know for sure. What can be said with confidence is that conflicts of interest are a pervasive problem in U.S. election administration. In over 30 states, the chief election official – usually the secretary of state – is elected as the candidate of one of the major parties. And in most of the remaining states, the chief election official is selected by a party-affiliated official, usually the state’s governor. Both systems create an inherent conflict of interest between election officials’ duty to discharge their duties to all citizens and their own personal and political interests. The situation is not much better at the local level. Party-affiliated election officials run election in almost half of the local election jurisdictions in the U.S.

This state of affairs is directly contrary to an emerging international consensus that election administrators should be insulated from partisan politics. According to the influential European Commission for Democracy Through Law: “Only transparency, impartiality and independence from politically motivated manipulation will ensure proper administration of the election process, from the pre-election period to the end of the processing of results.” For the most part, the persons and institutions running American elections lack such impartiality and independence.

Recognizing this conflict of interest is the easy part; solving the problem is much more difficult. Bipartisan boards can also be dysfunctional too, as my colleague Ned Foley has noted with reference to New York’s recent experience. The best American model is Wisconsin’s Government Accountability Board, which consists of retired judges selected in a way that is designed to promote impartiality. Other countries, including Canada, Australia, and India, have election administration bodies insulated from partisan politics that might also serve as a model for reform in the U.S.

Unfortunately, it is not realistic to expect many states to replace party-affiliated chief election officials with more independent institutions. The party that controls that office – or that is poised to do so – can be expected to oppose such reform. In some states, both major parties will oppose institutional reform, since it takes away an elected office for which their candidates may run.

Moreover, even if we could insulate election officials from partisan politics, the institutions responsible for making election laws are no model of impartiality. While there are a handful of federal laws that govern election, including HAVA, most of the rules regarding voter registration, voting technology, provisional ballots, absentee voting, voter identification, and recounts are the product of state law. When one party controls the state legislative process and enacts laws making it more difficult for some people to vote or have their votes counted, there is reason to worry. The most notable examples in recent years are the Indiana and Georgia laws requiring voters to present government-issued photo ID, despite the paucity of evidence showing voter impersonation to be a serious problem.

Partisanship is thus a spectre haunting the making of election laws, as well as their implementation. With the increased polarization of American politics, these concerns have never been more serious. This year, 23 states will have partisan elections for the state’s chief election official. Control over the state legislature and Governor’s office will also be a stake in a number of states. There has been a fair amount of attention to the impact that this year’s elections will have on the forthcoming round of redistricting. Less noticed is the fact that this election will dictate which party controls the machinery of elections in many swing states.

Of particular concern is that states will move to impose more aggressive proof-of-citizenship requirements that may impede participation by eligible voters. In 2005, Ohio enacted a law requiring naturalized citizens to produce a certificate of naturalization if challenged at the polls. (Disclosure: I was part of the legal team that successfully sued to stop this law.) And long before making news with its recent immigration law, Arizona enacted a stringent proof-of-citizenship law that is the subject of ongoing litigation. More recently, Georgia adopted a controversial voter verification program, to which the U.S. Department of Justice originally objected on the ground that it would have an adverse impact on minority voters – though it ultimately abandoned its objection, perhaps to avoid a constitutional challenge to Section 5 of the Voting Rights Act.

Exaggerating voter fraud, especially when it comes to immigrants, has become a cottage industry in some quarters, and a convenient excuse to make it more difficult for some citizens to register and vote. Overly restrictive rules for voter registration and verification can be expected to have a negative impact on some groups, including Latino and Asian American citizens who already have low turnout rates.

What is the solution? While there are no easy answers, the pervasive partisanship in the making and implementation of election laws necessitates close judicial oversight of elections. Though some have complained that about the increase in election-related litigation since 2000, the reality is that the federal courts are the government institution most insulated from partisan politics. Accordingly, they have a vital role to play in policing election administration. Because access to federal courts is essential, they should be generous in allowing a private right of action in cases alleging a violation of federal election laws, as I argue in a forthcoming article. Courts should also closely scrutinize laws and practices alleged to have a disparate impact on certain groups of voters, including racial and ethnic minorities.

In the long run, the United States needs to move toward electoral institutions that are insulated from partisan politics, as is the norm in most other democracies. In the short run, however, such reforms are not likely. It is therefore essential that courts play an active role in checking partisan election administration, especially when it comes to laws and practices likely to have a disparate impact on poor and minority voters.

Protecting the Voting Rights of Military and Overseas Voters

By Steven F. Huefner

Last Saturday marked the 45th day before the November 2 election, the new deadline under a federal law passed last year for sending ballots to military and overseas voters. This is a substantial improvement in the law protecting the voting opportunities of military and overseas voters, but precisely how well these voters will be served, both by the requirements of the new governing law itself, and as a matter of the implementation of that law, merits close attention over the next two months.

Last week marked not only the end of this year’s primary election season, but also the date when, under a new provision of federal law, states were required to send absentee ballots for the upcoming federal elections to U.S. military and overseas citizens. Specifically, last Saturday, September 18, was the 45th day prior to the November 2 general election. Under the Military and Overseas Voter Empowerment Act (“MOVE”), which Congress passed in 2009, the 45th day before a federal election is the deadline (except in a handful of states that recently received a waiver of this requirement) for sending absentee ballots to voters covered by the Uniformed and Overseas Citizens Absentee Voting Act (“UOCAVA”). This is a substantial improvement in the law protecting the voting opportunities of military and overseas voters, but precisely how well these voters are served, both by the requirements of the new governing law itself, and as a matter of the implementation of that law, merits close attention over the next two months.

U.S. military personnel and overseas civilians, who are collectively estimated to constitute approximately six million potential voters, have long struggled with greater voting challenges than most absentee voters face. These challenges reflect both the high degree of transiency of these citizens, as well as the difficulties of delivering mail to and from remote locations around the globe. Although military voters have tended to register to vote at rates higher than those of the general population, their voting participation rates have usually been dramatically lower. For some of these potential voters, blank ballots may never arrive, or may arrive too late to be timely cast, or may be timely cast but returned too late to be counted. Other voters may find the process of applying for an absentee ballot from abroad too complicated, or may have difficulty getting information about candidates and issues. In its 2009 study “No Time to Vote,” the Pew Center on the States found that more than one third of U.S. states do not provide enough time for military voters abroad to reliably cast their ballots, and that half of the states needed to improve their absentee balloting processes for these voters.

The MOVE Act seeks to address some of the difficulties facing military and overseas voters in part by mandating that states provide these voters a minimum 45-day time period for the round-trip that begins when a blank ballot is sent to a voter and ends when a voted ballot is returned to an election official. In addition, the act requires states to establish electronic means for voters to register to vote and to apply for an absentee ballot, as well as electronic means for election officials to send voters the blank absentee ballot itself. The act does not require states to permit voters to cast their absentee ballot electronically (although a handful of states have independently begun to permit some limited electronic voting, even if it is just accepting a faxed version of a paper ballot in some special circumstances). MOVE also prohibits the imposition of notarization requirements, which can be particularly onerous in some foreign jurisdictions, on ballots cast by military and overseas voters.

Last year’s MOVE Act is but the latest in a series of congressional efforts over many decades to reduce the challenges and to improve the absentee balloting process for military and U.S. citizens abroad. MOVE itself was an amendment to UOCAVA, a 1986 measure that established special voting rights and protections for military service members, their families, and U.S. civilians abroad. Yet notwithstanding the many previous federal efforts, difficulties for military and overseas voters have persisted, in large part because U.S. elections are conducted at the state and local level under procedures that vary widely from jurisdiction to jurisdiction. This panoply of divergent requirements and processes has complicated the efforts of military voting assistance officers, State Department officials, and non-governmental organizations to help individual voters.

Because of these difficulties, for the past two years the Uniform Law Commission (“ULC,” also known as the National Conference of Commissioners on Uniform State Laws) has been drafting a uniform state law for military and overseas voters. That effort concluded earlier this summer with the ULC’s approval of the Uniform Military and Overseas Voters Act (“UMOVA”). [Disclosure: I served as the Reporter for the ULC drafting committee that drafted UMOVA.] A copy of UMOVA is available here, and state legislatures are now beginning to consider adopting this act. While building upon existing federal law in the area, UMOVA also would extend protection to state and local elections not held in conjunction with the federal elections that MOVE and UOCAVA cover, and would provide additional uniformity in the voting process for military and overseas voters across the states.

Obviously, no state will adopt UMOVA in time for it to affect the November 2010 election. Instead, improvements this year in the participation of military and overseas voters are most likely to come from individual state responses to last year’s MOVE Act. But regardless of how well state efforts to become MOVE compliant succeed in improving the 2010 voting experience of UOCAVA voters, the 2010 election is likely to establish that UMOVA deserves to be widely enacted across the U.S. for future elections.

Among other things, while MOVE’s 45-day requirement surely will improve the voting participation rate of many UOCAVA voters, it does not apply to non-federal elections, as UMOVA would. In addition, although the 45-day time period will be a substantial improvement in some states, even 45 days may not always be enough for some potential voters. Indeed, the extent to which the 45-day period is sufficient will deserve careful monitoring during this election. UMOVA would extend this time period by allowing ballots cast before Election Day to reach local election officials after Election Day, as long as they are received in time to be included in the local canvass. This is an accommodation that several states have already made in litigation or in negotiation with the U.S. Department of Justice, and standardizing this practice across all states would enfranchise additional voters.

The MOVE Act’s centerpiece, its 45-day requirement, itself reflects another accommodation between the desire to fully enfranchise military service personnel, on the one hand, and some of the logistical challenges that election officials face in conducting an election, on the other, as well as the political realities of many states’ existing primary election calendars. Until the official canvass (and any potential recounts and contests) of the primary election is complete, local election jurisdictions cannot finalize their general election ballots. Thus, it would have been problematic for a state still tallying the official results of its primary election from last Tuesday to send out absentee ballots last Saturday. Accordingly, complying with the 45-day requirement demands that a state’s primary election occur at least two months before the general election, and ideally earlier than that. (Although the fact that ballots can be transmitted electronically means not only that they can be available to the voter almost immediately after the ballot content and style are finalized, without the delays typically associated with mail delivery, but also that the time between primary election and absentee ballot distribution may be somewhat reduced, without the need to wait for ballots to be printed.)

But how well is this accommodation working? As this first election under MOVE unfolds, a number of questions about the 45-day minimum deserve attention. The threshold question, immediately pertinent, is whether ballots are already available for these voters? Are states that did not request a waiver of the 45-day deadline in fact complying with the deadline? If not, why not? In the four states (Alaska, Colorado, Hawaii, and Wisconsin, along with the District of Columbia and the U.S. Virgin Islands) that sought a waiver this year but were denied it, what is happening to protect these voters? In the five states (Delaware, Massachusetts, New York, Rhode Island, and Washington) that received a waiver of this requirement for this election, will they be able to comply with the 45-day requirement in 2012?

Beyond these questions about the round-trip time requirement, many other questions also are worth considering in this first MOVE election: How well are the electronic methods of transmitting ballot applications and blank ballots working? Are voters better able to get the information and assistance they need? Can they complete the ballot and accompanying materials successfully? Are they in fact casting a ballot that ultimately is counted? If not, why not? Will enforcing their participation rights, particularly in a close election, eventually become a matter of litigation?

In short, the voting experiences of military and overseas voters deserve careful attention in the federal midterm elections now underway. Between now and mid-November there likely will be multiple opportunities to continue to reflect on how to further facilitate these voters’ participation. This reflection may confirm that the MOVE Act framework is sensible and therefore worth extending to state and local elections. It also may suggest how, for purposes of protecting this particularly deserving subset of the American electorate, federal law alone remains less effective than an effort to develop a more uniform voting process for these voters in every state, as UMOVA seeks to do. Given that elections themselves are state rather than federal undertakings, the value of additional state control over this process should not come as a surprise.

Top-10 List and Top-Two Candidates: Some Thoughts on This Election Season

As our nation heads into the final stretches of this campaign season – today ends the primaries for this year – Election Law @ Moritz has refurbished its web site. The goal is to provide the same type of substantive content that we have in the past, but to do so in a more user-friendly format. We hope that you will poke around and let us know what you think.

We have also used the occasion to reflect on what we as a team think likely will be the biggest legal issues of this election cycle.  Here’s our “top ten” list.  Look forward also to Weekly Comments (of which this is the season’s opener), as well as a new Weekly Summary (found as one of the links at the top of the home page), between now and Election Day.

It is not surprising that campaign finance and redistricting are the first two items on this “top ten” list.  It is widely believed that campaign finance will be the big story of this year’s election in the wake of the U.S. Supreme Court’s decision in Citizens United v. Federal Election Commission.  And hardly a day goes by without a new story, or blog post, on the effect that this year’s elections will have on the legislative districts drawn after the completion of the new census.  (New maps, of course, will be needed in each state for both the state’s own legislature as well as its delegation to the U.S. House of Representatives.)

But as I think more about what this year’s elections will tell us about the health of the procedures we use to elect government officials, I begin to wonder whether our biggest concern should focus on a different element of the electoral process: the means by which we winnow the candidates down from a field to a single winner.

To be sure, I still believe we need to pay close attention to how we cast and count our ballots.  Indeed, many items of our “top ten” list reflect this continuing concern.  This year is likely to see even greater use of early and absentee voting, and this trend may cause problems similar to those that Minnesota confronted in 2008.  And although it is true that many issues arising with the implementation of the Help America Vote Act (HAVA) have been sorted out by now, there are still potential pitfalls lurking within the registration database and provisional voting requirements of this adolescent (and thus not yet fully mature) statute.

Even so, one can be hopeful that this November’s general election will avoid any major dispute over the casting and counting of ballots.  The recounts that have occurred during the primaries, like those in Alaska and Vermont, have gone smoothly—at least from the perspective of not triggering litigation.  (While Vermont’s recount among Democratic gubernatorial candidates was a friendly affair, Alaska’s recount among Republican candidates for U.S. Senate was politically testy.)  Recounts in general elections tend to be uglier than recounts in primaries, for the obvious reason that candidates from different parties are usually more antagonistic than candidates in intramural competition, and thus we cannot assume that there will be no major recount battle in this year’s general election.  But it takes the unusual—and unfortunate—combination of both an exceedingly narrow apparent margin of victory (less than 1000 votes) and a problem in the administration of the voting process susceptible of litigation (which in turn requires some uncertainty in the relevant legal rules) in order for a recount to become a full-scale confrontation of the kind that occurred in Minnesota.  If the nation is lucky, it will escape that kind of “perfect storm” in this electoral season.

The health of an electoral system, however, is not measured solely by its ability to accurately tally the votes cast for each candidate.  Instead, it is also necessary that the winning candidates represent the electoral preferences of the voters who cast ballots.  This essential condition cannot be assumed to occur if, for example, the winning candidate in a three-way race received less than forty percent of the votes.  If the runner-up would have prevailed in a head-to-head runoff with this plurality winner, then democracy is arguably disserved by the failure of the electoral system to take account of this preference within the electorate.  Imagine a race in which the candidates split the vote 35-33-32, with a politically moderate candidate in the middle of this split.  It should not matter whether the plurality winner is a left-wing or right-wing “extremist” to make the same point: if moderates together with the plurality winner’s ideological opponents would have combined to defeat this “extremist” candidate, then the electoral system should give voters the opportunity to have this preference prevail.

I readily acknowledge that there is no perfect system for translating voter preferences into electoral outcomes.  Kenneth Arrow proved as much in the theorem that bears his name.  Philosophers of democracy can endlessly debate the merits of proportional representation against the winner-take-all system that we have in the U.S. for legislative elections.  There is growing interest in Instant Runoff Voting (IRV), as evidenced most recently by Rick Pildes’s advocacy on behalf of it.  But there are different versions of IRV, as well as some competitors to (and criticisms of) it.

This piece is not the place to argue for any particular electoral system.  Instead, I will simply observe that this year may end up exposing flaws with our conventional method of moving from primary to general elections, without the opportunity for runoffs in most places.  The rise of the Tea Party movement and the ferment within Republican Party primaries show that it is not easy to design a sensible system for moving from many candidates to a single winner.  Should separate Tea Party candidates appear on the general election ballot, potentially draining significant support for Republicans, who thereby might lose even though they would win a head-to-head matchup against their Democratic counterparts?  Witness the allegations we are seeing concerning “fraudulent” Tea Party (and Green Party) candidates, who purportedly are placed on the ballot solely for this siphoning purpose.

This ferment has also caused the phenomenon of “establishment Republicans” pursuing independent candidacies in general elections.  Charlie Crist, Florida’s governor elected as a Republican, is running for U.S. Senate as an independent because it became clear that he would lose the Republican primary to the conservative insurgent Mark Rubio.  In Alaska’s U.S. Senate election, incumbent Lisa Murkowski did lose in the Republican primary to another conservative insurgent, Joe Miller, and apparently she is contemplating the possibility of a write-in candidacy as an independent.

It is easy to imagine that Florida’s U.S. Senate race might end up like the hypothetical three-way split described above.  Rubio might get less than 40%, perhaps as low as 35%, of the vote and still be the plurality winner.  Crist might trail Rubio by just a percentage point—35% to 34%, for example—with the Democratic candidate (Kendrick Meek) in third place.  If Crist would beat Rubio in a head-to-head runoff, because Democratic voters would hand Crist their support in a two-man contest, should not Floridians be given the opportunity to express this collective preference?

Likewise, it is possible that Murkowski would beat Miller in a two-person race in which all Alaskans voted, rather than just those Alaskans participating in the Republican primary.  Thus, it is intriguing to consider what the U.S. Senate election in Alaska would have looked like if Alaska had adopted the same kind of “top two primary” system that they have in Washington and now California.  A “top two primary” essentially converts the general election into a head-to-head runoff between the top two vote-getters in the primary, regardless of party.  In the primary elections that Alaska held this year, Miller and Murkowski each received over 50,000 votes, whereas the winner of the Democratic primary received only 18,000 votes.  Indeed, the total of votes cast for all four candidates in the Democratic primary was only 36,000.  Had these numbers been the same in a “top two primary” system, or even if the three other candidates in the Democratic primary had bowed out in order not to drain votes from the leading Democrat, the result would have been that both Miller and Murkowski would have gone on to the general election.  Arguably, that situation would have permitted Alaska’s electorate collectively to express its preference among Miller, Murkowski, and the leading Democrat much better than the current situation in which Murkowski must fight for status as a write-in candidate.

California’s new “top two” system does not take effect until the 2012 elections.  It will be interesting to observe whether that new system, in contrast to the state’s former conventional system, causes winning candidates to better reflect California’s electorate as a whole. Nor will California’s experience, even if positive, prove that its “top two” system is better than some version of Instant Runoff Voting—or even, what is possible, a combination of an IRV primary (to identify the “top two” vote-getters) and then a head-to-head general election.  But because IRV has not yet been adopted on a statewide basis in any state, whereas “top two” now has, those who are interested in improving the health of democracy in the U.S. should consider focusing on “top two” as a politically feasible measure of reform.

Even if the “top two primary” is worthy of attention in the future, is the issue of how to winnow candidates from many to one really more important this year than either campaign finance or redistricting?  I certainly do not want to discount the importance of these two topics.  Yet there are significant distinctions between the how-to-winnow issue, on the one hand, and either campaign finance or redistricting, on the other.  The how-to-winnow issue concerns the voting process itself: is democracy functioning to produce electoral results that properly aggregate voter preferences among the pool of competing candidates?
The campaign finance issue is different, at least as it is being debated this year.  The fear of increased corporate and union money after Citizens United is not that it will prevent voters from casting ballots in favor of the candidates whom they most prefer; rather it is a fear that these candidates, once in office, will become beholden to their financial supporters.  The concern, then, is that governance, rather than electoral preference-identification, will be distorted.

The concern about redistricting is related to electoral-preference identification.  The fear is that gerrymandered districts will cause the election of candidates who do not best reflect the preferences of the electorate, considered collectively.  But this fear concerns the candidates who will be elected pursuant to the new legislative districts drawn next year after the completion of this year’s census.  Even though redistricting is on the brain of all political professionals, there is no current claim that the redistricting issue is causing a distortion of electoral preference-identification this year—beyond whatever distortion occurred as a result of gerrymandering after the 2000 census.  In other words, the fact that this year’s election results will determine who gets to draw the new maps next year is not, by itself, a fact that is distorting the operation of the electoral process this year.   The voters will vote their preferences this year, and the electoral system to the extent that it is able will aggregate those preferences into electoral results, and this process will occur without being affected by the fact that this year’s winners will engage in redistricting next year.

By contrast, the absence of a “top two” system—or IRV, or some other better method of aggregating voter preferences—in this year’s election necessarily will have an effect of the ability of democracy to do its basic job this year.  Because of the conventional system in place, we may get plurality winners who would not win a head-to-head runoff with the runners-up they beat.  This risk is not limited to Florida and Alaska.  Indeed, some of the dynamics I have been discussing may play out in today’s primaries, particularly Delaware’s or New Hampshire’s.  Moreover, the frequency with which this problem occurs may increase as a result of the political turmoil the nation is experiencing.  Even if there is no perfect solution to this problem, it is one about which we should be concerned—and increasingly so.

Thus, let’s keep a sharp eye on the winnowing issue this year, and see if it bears out that we need to put in place new ways – whether “top two,” IRV, a combination, or something else – to pick a winner from a fractured field of candidates.

Two Problems with the New Challenge to Section 5

By Daniel P. Tokaji

On Wednesday of last week, private citizens and a private organization in Kinston, North Carolina filed a complaint challenging the constitutionality of Section 5 of the Voting Rights Act. This case, LaRoque v. Holder, follows last year’s U.S. Supreme Court decision in Northwest Austin Municipal Utility District Number One v. Holder (NAMUDNO), which raised questions about Section 5’s constitutionality but ultimately avoided deciding the question.

Plaintiffs in LaRoque are also unlikely to secure a determination of Section 5’s constitutionality, though for different reasons than in NAMUDNO. There are two barriers to the federal district court deciding the constitutional issue. The first is that plaintiffs probably don’t meet the prudential requirements for standing. The second barrier – even more problematic for plaintiffs – is that they lack a private cause of action to challenge the statute’s constitutionality. If the district court follows existing law, it is difficult to see how it can reach the constitutional issue.

Do Plaintiffs Have Standing?

LaRoque arises from a referendum in Kinston, a municipality located in Lenoir County, North Carolina, which is covered by Section 5. Up until now, Kinston has conducted partisan elections for mayor and city council. The referendum, approved by voters in November 2008, would switch from partisan to nonpartisan elections for these offices. The U.S. Department of Justice (DOJ) objected to this change under Section 5, on the ground that the absence of party affiliation on the ballot would harm the ability of African American voters to elect their preferred candidates of choice.

The City of Kinston has not filed a district court action seeking judicial preclearance, as it’s entitled to do under Section 5. Instead, the city council has apparently decided to accept DOJ’s preclearance denial, voting not to take the matter to court. For this reason, the plaintiff isn’t heentity directly subject to Section 5, as was the case in NAMUDNO. Instead, plaintiffs are “voters, prospective candidates, and proponents of citizen referenda,” including the one they would like the city to implement (Complaint ¶ 1.)

The first problem with a federal court entertaining the case is standing. In order to have standing, plaintiffs must satisfy both the requirements of Article III and prudential requirements that the Supreme Court has imposed. Under Article III: “A plaintiff must allege personal injury fairly traceable to the defendant’s allegedly unlawful conduct and likely to be redressed by the requested relief.” Allen v. Wright (1984). It is possible that at least some of the Plaintiffs meet the three requirements encompassed by this standard: 1) an injury in fact, 2) causation, and 3) redressability.

Even assuming that the minimum requirements of Article III are satisfied, however, the LaRoque plaintiffs probably don’t have standing. For a federal court to hear this case, they must also meet the separate prudential standing requirements, the judicially “self-imposed limits” on the exercise of federal jurisdiction. As a general rule, prudential standing bars the assertion of a right by a third party – i.e., by someone other than the rightsholder. As the Court put it in Elk Grove v. Newdow (2004), there’s a “general prohibition on a litigant’s raising another person’s legal rights.” To the extent there is a rightsholder in this case, it’s not the private individuals and group that brought suit, but rather the City of Kinston.

There are exceptions to the general bar on a litigant asserting another person’s legal rights, but it’s doubtful that they apply here. The Court has allowed third-party standing, where there’s a special relationship between the would-be plaintiff and the rightsholder, and where there’s a genuine obstacle to the rightsholder asserting his or her own rights. A paradigmatic example of a special relationship is that between a doctor and a patient seeking contraception or an abortion, as in Singleton v. Wulff (1976). An example of a genuine obstacle to the rightsholder asserting his or her own rights is NAACP v. Alabama (1958), in which the NAACP asserted the associational rights of its members who, for good reason, wished to remain anonymous.

In LaRoque, there appears no be no special relationship or genuine obstacle to the rightsholder making the constitutional claim Plaintiffs seek to assert. While Plaintiffs supported the referendum and want the city to implement it, this probably isn’t enough of a special relationship to overcome the general bar against third-party standing. Nor is there any genuine obstacle to the city asserting its own rights. The city is free to challenge the constitutionality of Section 5, if it chooses. There’s no obstacle to the city asserting its rights – it’s simply decided not to do so.

The fact that the city has apparently chosen not to sue provides an additional reason for denying prudential standing. In Elk Grove, the Court rejected third-part standing of a parent seeking to challenge the words “under God” in the Pledge of Allegiance, on the ground that the interests of the parent and child were “potentially in conflict.” It was doubtful, in that case, that Mr. Newdow had legal authority to speak for his daughter. In this case, the interests of the city and would-be plaintiffs appear to be not just “potentially” but actually in conflict, given Kinston’s decision not to challenge the preclearance denial or the constitutionality of Section 5. Accordingly, plaintiffs don’t seem to have prudential standing.

Do Plaintiffs Have a Right of Action?

Prudential standing isn’t the only problem in LaRoque. The second obstacle to the district court entertaining Plaintiffs’ constitutional claims is that they have no private right of action. Plaintiffs are private citizens and a group suing a federal official, the U.S. Attorney General, for allegedly violating the U.S. Constitution. They cite no federal statute that gives them a right to sue, and I don’t believe that one exists.

There’s no federal statute that generally confers a right of action on plaintiffs claiming that a federal official has violated their constitutional rights. Section 1983 gives a right of action to those claiming that a state or local official has violated their constitutional rights, but § 1983 doesn’t cover violations committed by federal officials.

Plaintiffs might assert that the Administrative Procedures Act (APA) allows them to challenge DOJ’s preclearance decisions, but the Supreme Court closed off that avenue in Morris v. Gressette (1977). In that case, the Court held that Section 5 precluded private plaintiffs from obtaining judicial review of the Attorney General’s preclearance decisions. It’s true that Morris dealt with a decision by the Attorney General not to object – rather than a decision to make an objection, as in LaRoque. But it’s hard to see why this should matter, for the purpose of APA reviewability, since Morris held that the preclearance scheme created by Congress precludes APA review.

In other contexts, the Supreme Court has implied a right of action on plaintiffs alleging a violation of their own constitutional rights. The leading case is Bivens v. Six Unknown Named Agents of the Federal Bureau of Narcotics (1971), an opinion by Justice Brennan that allowed a private plaintiff to bring a damages claim against federal agents who had allegedly conducted an unconstitutional search and arrest. In the decades since Bivens was decided, the Court has curtailed the availability of an implied right of action to challenge federal officials’ violation of constitutional rights. It has created an exception where there is an “alternative existing process” for protecting the right at issue and declined to extend Bivens beyond its core of protection for individual constitutional rights. More broadly, the Court has increasingly viewed the judicial implication of rights of action – under Bivens and in other contexts – with suspicion. As Justice Scalia has put it, with his own inimitable flair: “Bivens is a relic of the heady days in which this Court assumed common-law powers to create causes of action.” Correctional Services Corp. v. Malesko (2001) (Scalia, J., concurring).

It’s very hard to see how a right of action could be implied for the private plaintiffs in LaRoque. They can’t plausibly claim that their constitutional rights have been violated. The claim instead is that Congress has acted in access of its delegated powers. If there is a “victim” of this alleged constitutional violation, it’s Kinston and similarly situated state and local entities, by virtue of the unwarranted intrusion on their sovereignty. I can’t think of a case in which a cause of action has been implied in favor of private individuals under similar circumstances.

Because there is no statute that expressly confers a right of action upon them, the LaRoque Plaintiffs must persuade the courts to create one. For the district court to do so would be a stretch, one that runs contrary to the direction in which the Supreme Court has moved in recent decades.

Should Plaintiffs Be Able to Sue?

To this point, I have been examining whether the LaRoque plaintiffs can sue based on existing law on standing and private rights of action. Many people – myself included – believe that the Supreme Court has been too restrictive in these lines of cases, failing to provide access to federal court in circumstances where it’s warranted. Of course, Congress could certainly create a right of action for citizens like those in LaRoque, who wish to challenge a preclearance denial where the affected jurisdiction affected declines to do so (assuming there’s no Article III bar). Alternatively, the Supreme Court could change the law to allow an implied right of action in this sort of case.

Even for those of us who support a broadening of private rights of action, it’s questionable whether that’s appropriate in this case. After all, Kinston residents who want to see the referendum implemented do have a remedy. They can go to the city council and ask it to revisit the decision not to seek judicial preclearance – or, alternatively, try to persuade the city to bail out of coverage. Failing that, citizens can try to persuade voters that the city council’s decision was wrong and have councilmembers voted out of office.

Supporters of the referendum might counter that this course of action is unlikely, given that African Americans constitute a majority of Kinston’s registered voters. Were whites consistently outvoted in city elections, this might be a reasonable argument for creating a right of action. But according to the DOJ’s letter denying preclearance, blacks have actually been a minority of voters in most of the city’s recent elections. If that’s true, it’s hard to see a good reason to change existing law, and allow private plaintiffs like those in LaRoque to sue, contrary to the wishes of the affected government entity.

The Supreme Court stated in NAMUDNO that it believes there to be serious questions about whether Section 5 is constitutional. There will surely be a case that provides a suitable vehicle for raising that issue again. In my view, LaRoque isn’t that case.

The Occlusion of Equality in Campaign Finance Law

By Daniel P. Tokaji

Last Thursday, federal courts decided two significant campaign finance cases. This comment steps back from the fine points of campaign finance law to examine the overarching problem with the Supreme Court’s campaign finance jurisprudence – namely, its rejection of equality as a central value in our democracy. The body of law that the Court has developed over three and one-half decades has led not only to a stunted constitutional doctrine, but also to an impoverished public discourse. For those who believe that equality is a central democratic value, a reinvigoration of this discourse is long overdue.

Last Thursday, federal courts decided two significant campaign finance cases. In SpeechNow.org v. Federal Election Commission, the D.C. Circuit struck down limits on contributions to a nonprofit group that sought to make independent expenditures for and against federal candidates. In the other case, Republican National Committee v. Federal Election Commission, the D.C. federal district court upheld provisions of the Bipartisan Campaign Reform Act (commonly known as “McCain-Feingold”) limiting “soft money” contributions to political parties. These decisions follow the U.S. Supreme Court’s January decision in Citizens United v. Federal Election Commission, which struck down a prohibition on corporate expenditures for or against federal candidates.

The details of these cases can be mind-numbing, especially for those who don’t closely follow this area of law. Focusing on the details, moreover, can cause us to miss the bigger picture.

This comment steps back from the fine points of campaign finance law to examine the overarching problem with the Supreme Court’s campaign finance jurisprudence – namely, its rejection of equality as a central value in our democracy. The body of law that the Court has developed over three and one-half decades has led not only to a stunted constitutional doctrine, but also to an impoverished public discourse. Ironically, the effect of the Court’s First Amendment jurisprudence has been to suppress discussion of equality as a justification for regulating politics. For those of us who believe that equality is a central democratic value, a reinvigoration of this discourse is long overdue.

Buckley’s Rejection of the Equality Rationale

The central problem can be traced to a sentence in Buckley v. Valeo, the Supreme Court’s 1976 decision setting the framework for judicial review of contribution and expenditure limits. According to Buckley: “The concept that government may restrict the speech of some elements of our society in order to enhance the relative voice of others is wholly foreign to the First Amendment.” With these words, the Court took off the table the argument that spending limits might actually enhance our democratic discourse. Buckley presumed that a system of unlimited campaign expenditures works best and, at the same time, eliminated the promotion of systemic equality as a basis for spending limits. The prevention of corruption or its appearance became the sole permissible justification for limits on individual spending.

In the decades following Buckley, the constitutional debate over campaign finance too often got sidetracked over whether money was really speech or, as Justice Stevens argued, “property … not speech.” This is the wrong question. Whether or not money is speech, it clearly facilitates political expression. Money is necessary to have one’s political views heard, and therefore to participate meaningfully in campaign-related debates.

The observation that money facilitates speech doesn’t end the constitutional inquiry, however, but is just the beginning. If one accepts the proposition that money facilitates political speech, a corollary is that those without resources aren’t able to participate meaningfully in the conversations of democracy. The have-nots in our society therefore enjoy less political influence than the haves – and much less than the have-alots. In a society committed to political equality, this state of affairs is deeply troubling.

Citizens United and the Occlusion of Equality

Buckley eliminated equality as a justification for individual spending limits. When it came to corporate expenditures, however, the Supreme Court’s opinion in Austin v. Michigan Chamber of Commerce allowed limits due to “the corrosive and distorting effects of immense aggregations of wealth that are accumulated with the help of the corporate form.” This is a form of the equality rationale, albeit a narrow one – and an outlier from the rest of the Court’s campaign finance jurisprudence, which disallowed equality as a rationale for spending limits. The Court’s decision in Citizens United this January hammered the last nail in equality’s coffin, expressly overruling Austin‘s anti-distortion rationale.

Citizens United may have brought greater consistency to the law, but it did so by rejecting a value central to our democracy. By eliminating equality as a justification for limits on corporate campaign spending, the Supreme Court has further distorted the public discourse over the rules that should govern the political process. Equality is the idea that, like Voldemort, must not be named.

The most harmful consequence of the Court’s campaign finance jurisprudence, from Buckley to Citizens United, is the occlusion of equality as a democratic value. Yet political equality is a principle that the Court has recognized and, indeed, held constitutionally required in other contexts.

An example is the “one person, one vote” principle, based on which the Court struck down legislative districts of unequal size in cases like Reynolds v. Sims. An even more helpful example is Harper v. Virginia, in which the Court struck down state poll taxes, on the ground that they improperly make wealth a measure of one’s qualification to vote. Harper was right to hold that one’s personal resources shouldn’t impede the right to vote. The same is true with respect to other forms of political participation. Without some limits on campaign spending, wealth will invariably be a determinant of political influence – including both who gets elected to office and what laws they pass (or choose not to pass) once in office.

Resurrecting Equality

Last week’s decision in SpeechNow.org exemplifies the consequences of the Court’s occlusion of equality. Federal law purports to limits contributions to groups like SpeechNow, which seeks to spend money for and against candidates for federal office.

As explained above, preventing corruption and its appearance is the only permissible basis for spending limits. Because SpeechNow planned only to make independent expenditures, the D.C. Circuit concluded that there was no real risk of corruption arising from contributions to that group. Under settled law, which holds that equality isn’t a legitimate justification for contribution limits, that was the only reasonable conclusion. But if equality were a permissible rationale, the case would have come out the other way. Even without coordination between federal candidates and SpeechNow, a lack of regulation tends to give wealthy donors an advantage over the rest of us, in their superior ability to influence the political process.

Until equality is given a place in conversations over campaign finance regulation, the prospects for meaningful reform are extremely limited. For progressives seeking to promote democratic equality, the task is twofold. In the short term, we need to prevent the Supreme Court from doing further damage to existing law. This will require a defense of cases like RNC v. FEC, which challenge what is left of McCain-Feingold and other laws that limit campaign spending.

In the long term, we need to reinvigorate the discourse over campaign finance, by resurrecting equality as a justification for regulation. The current Supreme Court will not be receptive to this argument, but this Court will not sit forever. We need to develop a new jurisprudence, one that respects the ideal of all citizens being able to participate as equals in the conversations of democracy. As advocates, academics, and ordinary citizens, we must lay the groundwork for this new jurisprudence and, by doing so, help reinstate equality as a central value in our democracy.

Citizens United: A Long-Term Perspective

A quarter-century from now, when we celebrate the bicentennial of de Tocqueville’s Democracy in America, Citizens United may look less of a watershed and more of a muddle.  But a muddle would not be bad, in terms of the health of the nation’s democracy, if it means Congress is attempting to limit in focused ways particular forms of corporate spending that injures the public interest–and if the Court comes to respect these targeted congressional responses.

A quarter-century from now, when we celebrate the bicentennial of de Tocqueville’s Democracy in America, what will we think of Citizens United? The majority opinion was written to be revered, in the way that New York Times v. Sullivan or The Pentagon Papers Case has been. But perhaps, instead, it may be seen as a stain on the fabric of democracy, one sending the country into another era of sullied politics like the one before the Progressive Era took hold. The 90-page dissent is certainly written with this sort of prognosis in mind.

Or, by 2035, Citizens United may no longer be good law. After all, the doctrine of stare decisis that replaced Austin and McConnell with Citizens United just as easily could revert back to Austin and McConnell within the next twenty-five years. If you think such flipping-and-flopping is too unseemly for the Supreme Court, you’ve forgotten your Tenth Amendment jurisprudence: National League of Cities (1976) replacing Maryland v. Wirtz (1968), only to be replaced itself by Garcia (1985), which was then superseded by New York v. United States (1992) and Printz (1997). It took twenty years to undo AustinMcConnell lasted barely more than six; but within the decade or two we might have a new decision either explicitly or implicitly eviscerating the heart of Citizens United, whatever that decision might say about the Court’s fidelity to the objectivity of constitutional law.

Most likely, however, I think we will look back on Citizens United as one of the Court’s many muddled steps since Buckley v. Valeo to draw principled lines on the extent to which the First Amendment prohibits Congress and state legislatures from regulating campaign spending. Opponents of Citizens United cannot, or should not, pretend that some such lines don’t need to be drawn. Even if Bellotti (the bête noir of progressives) were overruled from the left, there would need to be a stopping point: may corporations be prohibited from publishing tracts of political philosophy, like A Theory of Justice by John Rawls? I think not, but then which “issue” speech by corporations is constitutionally protected, and which is not?

But fans of Citizens United also should not pretend that the era of inevitable line-drawing is over, now that they have their definitive overruling of Austin. In fact, the majority opinion in Citizens United itself told us that it is not. Left for another day, we are told, is the potential problem of campaign spending by foreign-owned corporations, as well as foreign governments themselves. Although the Court today did not answer the question (because it had no occasion to do so), one must doubt very much that it would invalidate a carefully drawn statute designed to prevent foreign governments from spending money to influence U.S. elections. Yet if that is true, the line-drawing task begins. What about foreign corporations under the control of foreign governments?

Citizens United confronted a statute that banned independent electioneering by all corporations. Even if one would have sided with Justice Stevens in dissent, one must acknowledge the point that much spending by many corporations would not corrupt members of Congress or otherwise improperly undermine the electorate’s ability to choose among competing candidates. Citizens United speaks in absolutist terms, but it faced an absolutist statute. It does not, and cannot, tell us what the Court would do if it were faced with a focused statute, targeted at curtailing corporate spending that is truly pernicious, and backed by evidence of its particular perniciousness.

The evil to be avoided is industries that require extensive government regulation, because of the risk to public safety or well-being if they operate without public supervision, being able to purchase politicians by bankrolling their campaigns (and thereby causing the politicians to deregulate regardless of the public interest). If it turns out that these regulated corporations can successfully do that by spending large sums independently of the politician’s own campaign itself, and this corporate control of legislative decisions can be shown, then a statute targeted at the specific industries and setting an appropriate limit on the amount of spending by businesses in these industries (rather than banning any such spending altogether) might stand a chance of success even after Citizens United.

The majority in Citizens United, even under its narrow conception of corruption, acknowledged:

“If elected officials succumb to improper influences from independent expenditures . . . then surely there is cause for concern. We must give weight to Congress to seek to dispel either the appearance or the reality of these influences. The remedies enacted by law, however, must comply with the First Amendment; and . . . [a]n outright ban on corporate speech during the critical preelection period is not a permissible remedy. Here Congress has created categorical bans on speech that are asymmetrical to preventing quid pro quo corruption” (p.45)

There is ambiguity and some potential wiggle-room here. A $1 million ceiling on the amount that the operator of a nuclear reactor can spend to support a Senate candidate, adopted in the wake of efforts by the nuclear reactor industry to lessen safety standards, is not an “outright ban” nor disproportional to the valid concern. “Asymmetrical” is the opposite of “narrow tailoring,” and thus Citizens United accepts the notion that Congress can take appropriately measured responses.

Thus, Congress needs to go about carefully and prudently testing the limits of Citizens United. It should start with the most compelling categories of industries, the ones where the private sector is essentially undertaking a government function because the government has determined that private sector—as long as it operates under strict supervision—can perform the task more effectively than the government itself. In this context, Congress can say it is concerned not only about the risk of its being corrupted by the regulated entities, but insofar as the regulated entities are acting as surrogates or agents of the government itself, Congress wishes to avoid having an instrumentality of government authority takes sides in a congressional campaign. Just as the Nuclear Regulatory Commission may not spend on behalf of a congressional candidate, so too may not the operators of nuclear reactors if they are performing the government’s function at the government’s behest.

If over the next twenty-five years, Congress adopts a series of laws that are narrowly focused and incremental in this way, then the landscape we are likely to encounter is one where Citizens United has been superseded as a practical matter by a series of decisions that define, perhaps somewhat erratically, what Congress can and cannot do in terms of limiting corporate spending to support and oppose candidates.

If this landscape indeed materializes, it will signify that the state of democracy in America is much healthier then that it is today. First, the focused constraints adopted by Congress—and accepted by the Court notwithstanding Citizens United—will be more democracy-enhancing than the law as its stands right now, with the Court’s having invalidated the absolute ban on all corporate spending. The new landscape will come closer to rooting out what is truly pernicious, and yet at the same time leave untouched what is inconsequential or even beneficial. Narrow tailoring, over time, is potentially win-win.

Moreover, the very act of Congress engaging Citizens United in this way would be a healthy sign for our democracy. It would show Congress, on behalf of the public, taking responsibility for the quality of the democratic process and doing so in a fine-tuned, thoughtful manner. It would be, in essence, the democratic process improving itself.

But if Congress cannot engage Citizens United in this way, that would be a truly bad sign. It would likely indicate problems much bigger than Citizens United itself. As one observes Congress these days, one cannot help but wonder if the institution has become dysfunctional. The Broken Branch, to invoke the title of the book by Tom Mann and Norm Ornstein.

If a quarter-century from now, Congress remains dysfunctional, Citizens United will hardly have been the only cause. People will point to the filibuster, gerrymandering, and other factors that preceded Citizens United. And the bicentennial of de Toqueville’s book will not be a happy occasion. Let us hope that that is not the situation in which we find ourselves.

Let us hope, instead, that we look back upon Citizens United as a spur which helped motivated Congress to engage in institutional self-improvement, which started a process that reduced the nation’s democracy deficit.

This comment was written as a guest blog at Rick Hasen’s Election Law blog and is cross-posted here.

Uncounted Ballots: A Measure of Vulnerability

Guess what? Ohio ranks especially vulnerable.

As part of my work on post-voting disputes over which candidate has won an especially close election—think Bush v. Gore or Coleman v. Franken, to cite the two most prominent recent examples—I have been contemplating the concept of “uncounted ballots”.   It’s a bit different than the idea of a “residual vote,” which involves a counted ballot that records no vote for a particular race. An “uncounted” ballot, by contrast, is a cast ballot that it is not part of the initial unofficial returns on Election Night.

Conceptually, the three biggest categories of uncounted ballots are: (1) late-arriving absentee ballots that are potentially still eligible(mostly military and overseas ballots); (2) rejected absentee ballots that may have been rejected in error; and (3) provisional ballots that still need to be evaluated. Together, these ballots form a rough measure of a state’s vulnerability to a post-voting dispute in the event of a close result on election night: the larger the number of these uncounted ballots, the greater the possibility that the candidate behind on election night might be able to convert the apparent defeat into a victory. (One could combine the two categories of “uncounted” and “residual” votes, if one thought that the technology in a particular state made it likely that “residual” votes would be a fruitful avenue of litigation.)

The 2008 Election Administration and Voting Survey released by the U.S. Election Assistance Commission contains some data by which one can begin to assess a state’s vulnerability in this regard. From what I can tell so far, there is no reported data specifically on the number of absentee ballots counted after the polls close on Election Day. Still, there is data for each state on the number of rejected absentee ballots and the number of provisional ballots. Thus, one can combined these two numbers for a state to get a sense of how large a pool of uncounted ballots might be fought over if a statewide election were close enough to be worth fighting over.

By this metric, perhaps not surprisingly, Ohio is an especially vulnerable state—the most vulnerable of the likely “battleground” states in a future presidential election. In 2008, Ohio had 25,950 rejected absentee ballots, and 204,651 provisional ballots. By contrast, Missouri had only 5,403 rejected absentee ballots and 6,934 provisional ballots. The 2008 presidential election in Missouri was extraordinarily close (McCain ended up winning by 3,903 votes), but if the entire presidency had turned on the outcome in Missouri, its exposure to litigation would have been lower than Ohio’s, just because it had much fewer uncounted ballots to fight over.

California, even recognizing its much larger population, also has a high number of uncounted ballots: 130,730 rejected absentee ballots, and 798,332 provisional ballots. Although California may not be a presidential battleground, if it has a close Senate or other statewide election, numbers of this magnitude may prove troublesome.

The New York Times recently has stated that Ohio will be one of the most interesting states to watch in the 2010 midterm elections, with potentially competitive gubernatorial, congressional (including U.S. Senate), and judicial and other major races. There is legislation pending in the state legislature aimed at reducing the number of provisional ballots and thus Ohio’s exposure to post-voting litigation in a close statewide race. But if the legislation does not pass (each party controls one of the two chambers, and so far they haven’t been able to compromise on election reform), then perhaps it would actually be beneficial for the state to suffer the shock of a post-voting dispute over absentee and/or provisional ballots in 2010.   Agony next year might pave the way for improved conditions by 2012. Although I wouldn’t wish another Coleman v. Franken on any state, it would be better than another Bush v. Gore.