– Dr. Kenny Burdine, Livestock Marketing Specialist, University of Kentucky
Spring is here and pastures are growing, which is exactly what our calf market needed after coming through such a tough winter. As I write this article (April 10, 2019), we are at our typical seasonal highs in the calf market, but I expect this market to hold well through summer. For the first week of April, 550 lb M/L #1-2 steers were selling in the mid-upper $150’s on a state average basis (see figure 1). At the same time, larger groups of calves were moving in the $160’s.
While the calf market has risen by roughly $15 per cwt since its December lows, I’m actually surprised that calf prices aren’t higher. As I write this article, fall CME© feeder cattle futures are trading in the $158-$160 per cwt range. Using this to make a Kentucky price estimate for fall and subtracting estimated costs for a stocker operation between now and then, suggests higher than normal profit levels for a summer grazing program. Greg Halich and I discussed this in our summer stocker outlook last month in the Economic and Policy Update at http://www.uky.edu/Ag/AgEcon/pubs/extbluesheetMar1920.pdf. And, it’s worth pointing out that futures are actually higher now than they were when Continue reading Kentucky Beef Cattle Market Update